Watched the game on delayed viewing so this is more a look ahead analysis. I like discussing bball so bare with me. If you want to discuss, play along. Please don't participate here if you aren't interested in chiming in thoughts.
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MY INTERPRETATION OF THIS WHOLE SITUATION:
It really doesn't seem like a one year fix on this. I think the notion of saying one year to fix this is a flawed idea and at this point not how any fix should be approached. This is not the consensus, but the statement of the few that aren't in favor of moving on.
The one thing I think the worst idea for us to be focusing on is all grad players. That's in line with an attempt at fixing this all in one year.
I think freshman and sophomore transfers, spring high school recruits, and maybe two total grad transfers is a sensible route. You simply can't be investing all your time in guys that are for the most part are who they are. Yes older guys can improve, but most have minimal advancement. For every Chaundee Brown (who we did not overuse as a starter or ask him to be more than he is and he improved because it was a realistic role, there are a bunch of tray jacksons (guys who are what they are and 5 minute a game/DNP coach's decision types).
Players gone for sure:
1. Nkamhoua
2. Llewellyn
3. Jackson
Covid year to use (Potential free agent)
1. Twill
2. Jace (appears to already be claiming his covid year).
Potential Flight risk
1. Dug. Hard to know what happens. Imo, the grade thing is a big issue. It is disappointing that it somehow got to that point, but imo it is very risky to so reliant on a player that managed to do that poorly in the classroom. You can't be worried if a top guy on your team will even show up to his classes or get failing grades on his assignments despite a lot of assistance from tutors.
Two years of Eligibility if he wants to use them
1. Burnett. More of a reserve talent, hard to expect a lot consistently if he's a starter.
Future Pieces?
1. Reed
2. Tschetter (2 more years of eligibility)
3. Andersen and Rooths
Iffy Forecast
1. Yoyo. It's not unheard of for a player to become playable in his upperclassmen years, but I do think most guys that are PLAYERS show something in their first two years. He's been here long enough now that he is trending imo to be one of those 2 and done types that moved on under Beilein, than say a later riser in DJ Wilson. Yoyo is also a year older than his class.
Very tough freshman year
1. Gw3. He has a profile of a shooter. He's actually an older freshman too so you'd like to see a bit more. Looks pretty awkward physically and a bit out of place. Hard to give up on him, but I'd say he has a ways to go. I think he's a 2 all the way and not a point guard.
My random guess is Twill uses his fifth year elsewhere, the program parts ways with Dug/he transfers, and Yoyo moves on.
So in my scenario you have 5 open roster spots. Any more attrition increases that number.
Priority #1: An older point guard. This one is tough. You'd like a guy with multiple years of eligibility, but is that out there? Would they come here?
You'd be hoping for a talent better than Llewellyn, but it is difficult to attract.
An actual wing that can create and score and can shoot.
Every program is after that. Again, not sure how that is attainable.
Another center
You are hoping for a level above Tschetter, but this is where you go after a freshman transfer that you can develop.
Two more players (preferably guard or wing). One young (multiple years of eligibility) and a grad transfer.
Overall Conclusion: I don't see how this is anything but a multi year rebuild. Christian Anderson is the perfect type of recruit in this era. Great shooting and a lot of potential without a nba build/prospects at this time. So essentially you are saying if Howard is your guy, he is for 2 or more years. Yeah.
Any tournament or bust mandates on Howard would be absurd and not the right way to look at this. I don't think you can look at this in any other way.
I think you kinda have to rebuild this properly by mixing in developmental guys and maybe a couple old guys. There's only one scenario where a coach gets time to remake a roster and hope for a bid the next year.