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Fwiw - the 3 way tiebreak scenario

Some fun with numbers and hypothetical results…

let’s say PSU beats OSU, OSU beats Michigan, and the three otherwise run the table.

I believe the big east then comes down to who’s non-divisional has the best in-conference record.

According to FPI projections - adjusting for the fact that this scenario assumes Michigan beats Illinois, Michigan beats Nebraska, and OSU beats NW - the winner should be…

MICHIGAN

but it’s real close with penn state (about half a game). It comes down to rooting for Illinois, Iowa and Nebraska and rooting against Purdue, NW and MN

happy Sunday!
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Clemson

From a power ratings perspective, the ACC is basically Clemson and no other team better than Wisconsin or Minnesota. I.e. PSU should be healthily favored over Clemsons whole schedule.

An 11-1 loser between Mich / OSU should absolutely get in over 13-0 Clemson and it won’t happen.

The SEC is getting two unless TCU goes undefeated.

so only one spot for the big ten.

We will have to beat OSU to make the playoffs.
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Recruiting Michigan HS Playoff 1st Round Matchups

Here are Friday’s notable games that’ll feature Michigan commits and targets:

1. River Rouge vs. Detroit King (D3)

2. Dexter vs. Milford (D2)

3. Birmingham Groves vs. Warren Mott (D2)

4. Rochester Adams vs. Lake Orion (D1)

5. Belleville vs. Woodhaven (D1)

6. Saline vs. AA Huron (D1)

7. West Bloomfield vs. Cass Tech (D1)

8. Southfield A&T vs. Troy (D1)
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