I was playing around with spreadsheets this morning. I decided to check what our record could be over our next 11 games our record. We have 6 road games 5 home games remaining. I considered strength of opponent and home court advantage.
Predicted Record over next 11 Games = 8 - 3
According to my Spread-Odds Model , which assigns win probabilities based upon the point spread, our record over these next 11 games will be 8 - 3 (We can't be good every night). The only game we look to lose straight-up based upon the numbers is @MSU. The challenge is that MSU will be very tough in Crisler. The road games at Iowa, MSU, Maryland will be very tough and we probably lose a game we should not lose.
We would "likely" finish the regular season 27 - 4 and 16 - 4 in the Big Ten
Predicted Point Spreads for Remaining Games
Predicted
Spread ...Opponent
18 - - - - -Ohio State
4 - - - - - @Iowa
16 - - - - -@Rutgers
11 - - - - -Wisconsin
11 - - - - -@Penn St.
13 - - - - -Maryland
11 - - - - -@Minnesota
1 - - - - - Michigan State
12 - - - - -Nebraska
2 - - - - - @Maryland
-10 - - - @Michigan State
Predicted Record over next 11 Games = 8 - 3
According to my Spread-Odds Model , which assigns win probabilities based upon the point spread, our record over these next 11 games will be 8 - 3 (We can't be good every night). The only game we look to lose straight-up based upon the numbers is @MSU. The challenge is that MSU will be very tough in Crisler. The road games at Iowa, MSU, Maryland will be very tough and we probably lose a game we should not lose.
We would "likely" finish the regular season 27 - 4 and 16 - 4 in the Big Ten
Predicted Point Spreads for Remaining Games
Predicted
Spread ...Opponent
18 - - - - -Ohio State
4 - - - - - @Iowa
16 - - - - -@Rutgers
11 - - - - -Wisconsin
11 - - - - -@Penn St.
13 - - - - -Maryland
11 - - - - -@Minnesota
1 - - - - - Michigan State
12 - - - - -Nebraska
2 - - - - - @Maryland
-10 - - - @Michigan State
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