Forecast
After Rutgers the next eight weeks has only three games that will be relatively "easy" wins, Northwestern and Indiana and Maryland
The other five will be very competitive games.
Bottomline: Honeymoon is almost over, The final eight weeks will not be an easy path.
Note: The model says that OSU is our third toughest game, but not by a lot
Forecast
Spread...Win %.....Opponent
33.0........100%.......Western Michigan
21.0........100%........Washington
53.0........100%.......Northern Illinois
16.9..........89%........Rutgers
-1.4..........37%........@Wisconsin
5.4............74%.........@Nebraska
22.2..........91%.........Northwestern
3.8...........68%..........@Michigan State
17.1...........89%..........Indiana
-4.0........26%.........@Penn St
9.7............81%..........@Maryland
2.7............63%..........Ohio State
9........Wins........Final Record Forecast
3........Losses
NOTE:
I am using a combination of Sagarin and ESPN FPI
The reason the model forecasts 3 losses even though the model predicts two losses is
that it expects we will lose one other game we are expected to win
After the Wisconsin game the model becomes much more accurate (5 weeks of data, very competitive opponent)
After Rutgers the next eight weeks has only three games that will be relatively "easy" wins, Northwestern and Indiana and Maryland
The other five will be very competitive games.
Bottomline: Honeymoon is almost over, The final eight weeks will not be an easy path.
Note: The model says that OSU is our third toughest game, but not by a lot
Forecast
Spread...Win %.....Opponent
33.0........100%.......Western Michigan
21.0........100%........Washington
53.0........100%.......Northern Illinois
16.9..........89%........Rutgers
-1.4..........37%........@Wisconsin
5.4............74%.........@Nebraska
22.2..........91%.........Northwestern
3.8...........68%..........@Michigan State
17.1...........89%..........Indiana
-4.0........26%.........@Penn St
9.7............81%..........@Maryland
2.7............63%..........Ohio State
9........Wins........Final Record Forecast
3........Losses
NOTE:
I am using a combination of Sagarin and ESPN FPI
The reason the model forecasts 3 losses even though the model predicts two losses is
that it expects we will lose one other game we are expected to win
After the Wisconsin game the model becomes much more accurate (5 weeks of data, very competitive opponent)
