Michigan Washington Game Stats Lines Computer Ratings Prediction

[BlueMonster]

Michigan Washington Game Stats Lines Computer Ratings Prediction

Total Offense last Week
Washington had 291 yards of Total Offense 56yds rushing on 27 carries (2.4 yds/carry) against FCS Montana
Michigan had 552 total Yards Total Offense, 335 yards of RUSHING (7.8 yds/Carry) alone against Western Michigan,

Total Defense Last Week
Washington gave up 232 yards of Total Offense against FCS Montana
Michigan gave up 317 yards of Total Offense against Western Michigan

Home Field Advantage (5.0 points)
3 Time zones east
Maize out
Night Game
109,000 fans

Vegas Line
Michigan - 6.5
O/U = 48
Implied Score = UM 28 - UW 21
Win Probability = 68% = 2:1

Computers
ESPN FPI: Michigan (11.9) - Washington (3.3) + Home field advantage (5) = Michigan by 13.6 points
Sagarin: Michigan (81.6) - Washington (75.4) + Home field advantage (5) = Michigan by 11.2 points
Massey Composite Ratings Michigan 23rd - Washington 51st = Implied Spread = Michigan by 11.4 points
Average = Michigan by 12 points = 82% Win Probability = 4:1
Implied Score = UM 30 - UW 17

Conclusion
Michigan is NOT a sure thing to beat Washington
Michigan seems like a heavy favorite 67% 2:1 or 82% 4:1 to win

 

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