https://www.cbssports.com/college-f...-remaining-contenders-with-one-spot-clinched/
2. Michigan:
Win the Big Ten Championship Game over No. 13 Iowa, and the Wolverines are in at no worse than the third seed. However, a loss to a 10.5-point underdog would be hard to recover from. It would take something like Alabama, CIncinnati, Oklahoma State and Oregon all losing, which would put it in a battle with Bama as a two-loss playoff team behind Georgia, Notre Dame and Baylor.
2. Michigan:
Win the Big Ten Championship Game over No. 13 Iowa, and the Wolverines are in at no worse than the third seed. However, a loss to a 10.5-point underdog would be hard to recover from. It would take something like Alabama, CIncinnati, Oklahoma State and Oregon all losing, which would put it in a battle with Bama as a two-loss playoff team behind Georgia, Notre Dame and Baylor.