Generally agree: with two evenly matched teams, the home team wins 90% of the time.
A few caveats: this Wolverine team can play some very good defense. If they can sustain that through a full game, they could pull out a low scoring game. Also, JB is a much better game coach that Tom Izzo. He often finds a way to pull out close games.
If this game is close with 5-6 minutes left, this could be a W.