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Updated Big Ten Seeding Projections and Tourney Chances

andrewhfine

Heisman
Gold Member
Mar 1, 2006
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  1. Michigan - Still a lock to make the field and probably a lock on a #1 seed. Would likely need to lose both to MSU and flame out in the Big Ten Tourney despite the poor showing last night.
  2. Illinois - The impressive win last night puts Illinois in a great spot to take that final #1 seed. If they beat the Buckeyes in Columbus on Saturday, that should wrap it up.
  3. Ohio State - OSU needed Michigan to take care of Illinois last night to get a #1 seed. The Buckeyes could still make things tough by beating Illinois this weekend and having a strong Big Ten Tourney run.
  4. Iowa - Like OSU, the Hawkeyes needed an Illinois loss to have any chance at #1 seed. They seem to be in decent shape to hold onto their 2 seed as long as they don't lose to Nebraska.
  5. Purdue - The Boilermakers are surging at the right time and have themselves in position for a #4 seed right now. Win at home against Indiana to finish the regular season and they will end up in that 4/5 range.
  6. Wisconsin - The Badgers have lost their last two to Illinois and Purdue but are still a projected 6 seed. Winning at Iowa and a decent conference tourney run could move them up, but this is probably where they settle, if not a little lower.
  7. Maryland - Maryland is firmly inside the field and right now as high as an 8 seed. They only have downside with remaining games against NW and Penn State. Winning both won't move them up that much, but losing could drop them a seed or two.
  8. Rutgers - Speaking of dropping a seed or two, Rutgers didn't do itself any favors by losing by 21 at Nebraska. They are still in the field at a projected 9 seed, but it wouldn't hurt them to win at Minnesota to lock that bid up completely.
  9. Michigan State - The Spartans are *surging* at the right time. Most brackets have them in as of now, though just barely. One win over Michigan will lock that bid up completely. But if they lose both a win in the Big Ten Tournament might be necessary.
  10. Indiana - The Hoosiers are officially on the outside looking in. They had a chance to steal one in East Lansing last night but couldn't do it. They'll have to win at Purdue or surprise in the Big Ten Tourney to get in.
  11. Minnesota - The Golden Gophers are in trouble, but not entirely finished. If they finish with two wins against PSU and Rutgers and then win a game or two in the Big Ten Tournament, they could squeeze in.
 
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