We got beat up on the board last night going winless in our three picks. The over in Michigan/UGA looked like a sure thing, even in the end when the Bulldogs had the ball on its side of the field with over 3 minutes left and Jim Harbaugh was using his timeouts. Of course, we know how that ended. Additionally, Cincinnati briefly stuck around with Alabama but the Tide would inevitably cover with ease. And our 10:30 pm NBA under hit the over, as if we needed any more disappointment in 2022's first chapter.
The good news is today is a new day! Our record remains a bright spot since starting here, and I'll compile a record breakdown for Monday morning's picks column.
As for today...
NCAAF:
5:00PM: Ohio State vs. Utah, Rose Bowl (O.U 64)
When you don't win your conference championship like Ohio State failed to do, you deal with the world of opt-outs in today's bowl era. The Buckeyes are without two of its best wideouts in school history in Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson, along with starting offensive tackle Nicholas Petit-Frere and defensive tackle Haskell Garrett. The Utes, on the other hand, are hot off two wins over Oregon in the final few weeks of the season and have all the momentum in the world heading into a matchup against a program that considers a 10-2 finish a disappointment.
Despite the letdown spot for the Buckeyes here, I'm not on either side. Ryan Day's squad is favored by four points in the 2:00 pm hour on game day. I, along with the signals, are too split down the middle to call this one either way.
However, I think 63.5 is too high of a number for this matchup. Utah's last three contests have gone well under this mark: 48, 41, and 45. Meanwhile, Ohio State, whose totals stay this high, has seen three out of its last five go under as well.
Take out Ohio State's receiving core and its best lineman, and I think that accounts for at least four-to-six points on this total.
Additionally, there are strong sharp signals on the under coming in. Not as strong as what we saw last night with Georgia -- that was as high as I've seen this season, and rightfully so -- but telling movement all the same.
Pick: Under 64
NBA:
7:00PM: San Antonio Spurs at Detroit Pistons (O/U 223)
A loooot of players are missing from this game.
The Spurs are getting all of the action with pros and the money compared to bets, but news broke this morning they'll be without Lonnie Walker on top of three others, so I'm staying away from the side.
I do like the over in a game like this where players are missing and shootouts are more likely than high defensive effort, especially in this league.
What you always like to see is both the sharps and the money agreeing, it means there's a clear side being taken, and the under is that side in this one.
Despite 39-percent of tickets being on the under, 98-percent of the money is on the over. Additionally, sharps are in the same boat with a strong signal on pros smashing the over, according to The Action Network's signals.
I will gladly take this over.
Pick: Over 223
Dog of The Day:
9:00PM: Golden State Warriors +160: Far too much value here on a GSW team that's equally as good as the Jazz and dealing with fewer players sidelined. The road trip isn't ideal but GSW has had three days of rest, and Utah is off a back-to-back, albeit at home. Regardless, I love the value we're getting with GSW.
The good news is today is a new day! Our record remains a bright spot since starting here, and I'll compile a record breakdown for Monday morning's picks column.
As for today...
NCAAF:
5:00PM: Ohio State vs. Utah, Rose Bowl (O.U 64)
When you don't win your conference championship like Ohio State failed to do, you deal with the world of opt-outs in today's bowl era. The Buckeyes are without two of its best wideouts in school history in Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson, along with starting offensive tackle Nicholas Petit-Frere and defensive tackle Haskell Garrett. The Utes, on the other hand, are hot off two wins over Oregon in the final few weeks of the season and have all the momentum in the world heading into a matchup against a program that considers a 10-2 finish a disappointment.
Despite the letdown spot for the Buckeyes here, I'm not on either side. Ryan Day's squad is favored by four points in the 2:00 pm hour on game day. I, along with the signals, are too split down the middle to call this one either way.
However, I think 63.5 is too high of a number for this matchup. Utah's last three contests have gone well under this mark: 48, 41, and 45. Meanwhile, Ohio State, whose totals stay this high, has seen three out of its last five go under as well.
Take out Ohio State's receiving core and its best lineman, and I think that accounts for at least four-to-six points on this total.
Additionally, there are strong sharp signals on the under coming in. Not as strong as what we saw last night with Georgia -- that was as high as I've seen this season, and rightfully so -- but telling movement all the same.
Pick: Under 64
NBA:
7:00PM: San Antonio Spurs at Detroit Pistons (O/U 223)
A loooot of players are missing from this game.
The Spurs are getting all of the action with pros and the money compared to bets, but news broke this morning they'll be without Lonnie Walker on top of three others, so I'm staying away from the side.
I do like the over in a game like this where players are missing and shootouts are more likely than high defensive effort, especially in this league.
What you always like to see is both the sharps and the money agreeing, it means there's a clear side being taken, and the under is that side in this one.
Despite 39-percent of tickets being on the under, 98-percent of the money is on the over. Additionally, sharps are in the same boat with a strong signal on pros smashing the over, according to The Action Network's signals.
I will gladly take this over.
Pick: Over 223
Dog of The Day:
9:00PM: Golden State Warriors +160: Far too much value here on a GSW team that's equally as good as the Jazz and dealing with fewer players sidelined. The road trip isn't ideal but GSW has had three days of rest, and Utah is off a back-to-back, albeit at home. Regardless, I love the value we're getting with GSW.
