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State Junkie Stuff: A mid-season look at the 2017 season W/L prediction

BlueMonster

Heisman
Apr 2, 2002
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Stat Junkie Stuff - A midseason look at the 2017 season W/L record

I am slicing and dicing the numbers from this season lots of different ways. Last week I posted a prediction based upon best opponents that Michigan would beat PSU in Happy Valley by 4 points. I don't think many will see that game that way. My model has overestimated our offense and underestimated our defense this season.

My Model right now is predicting the following for the season 9.5 wins. Not surprising.

Three Game Season
Its really a three game season (PSU, WISC, OSU). My model predicts the most likely outcome is that we will win ONE of those three games. OSU being the most likely

The "Win Probability %" is based upon my Spread-Odds Model.


UM2017wk5pred_zpsu1nmjuco.jpg
 
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