Good news!!
Although we are 2-1, which is less than we had hoped for, we are looking like a legit top ten team outside the occasionally stale air inside THE FORT.
The Cake is Still in the Oven
It typically takes about 6 weeks for the power ratings to really settle, but after three weeks this is beginning to take shape. If we stay healthy, after the Northwestern game we will have a pretty good idea about how the next few weeks will go.
Sagarin Index: Michigan 12th (Through Week 3)
OSU-2, PSU-4, MSU-22, Wisky-14, Northwestern-60 (ND-26)
https://www.usatoday.com/sports/ncaaf/sagarin/
OSU-10, PSU-10, MSU-18, Wisky-13, Northwestern > 35th (ND-16)
http://massey-peabody.com/college-football-2018-weekly-rankings/
What does it mean?
We should reasonably be favored in every game except OSU. The PSU game we should be favored because although they will be higher rated the Home Field Advantage is a much bigger factor than the ratings difference. Same for Wisky. MSU will get pummeled. Northwestern is evaporating.
HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE: The expected point differential swing between Happy Valley (-5 points)
and the Big House (+ 5 points) is about 10 points...10 points to our favor.
Although we are 2-1, which is less than we had hoped for, we are looking like a legit top ten team outside the occasionally stale air inside THE FORT.
The Cake is Still in the Oven
It typically takes about 6 weeks for the power ratings to really settle, but after three weeks this is beginning to take shape. If we stay healthy, after the Northwestern game we will have a pretty good idea about how the next few weeks will go.
Sagarin Index: Michigan 12th (Through Week 3)
OSU-2, PSU-4, MSU-22, Wisky-14, Northwestern-60 (ND-26)
https://www.usatoday.com/sports/ncaaf/sagarin/
ESPN FPI: Michigan 8th (Through Week 3)
OSU-3, PSU-4, MSU-13, Wisky-18, Northwestern-52 (ND-13)
http://www.espn.com/college-football/statistics/teamratingsOSU-3, PSU-4, MSU-13, Wisky-18, Northwestern-52 (ND-13)
Football Outsiders S&P+: Michigan 10th
OSU-2, PSU-8, MSU-20, Wisky-13, Northwestern-66 (ND-18)
https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/ncaa
Massey Peabody: Michigan 7th (Post week 2 updated on Wednesday for week 3)OSU-2, PSU-8, MSU-20, Wisky-13, Northwestern-66 (ND-18)
https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/ncaa
OSU-10, PSU-10, MSU-18, Wisky-13, Northwestern > 35th (ND-16)
http://massey-peabody.com/college-football-2018-weekly-rankings/
What does it mean?
We should reasonably be favored in every game except OSU. The PSU game we should be favored because although they will be higher rated the Home Field Advantage is a much bigger factor than the ratings difference. Same for Wisky. MSU will get pummeled. Northwestern is evaporating.
HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE: The expected point differential swing between Happy Valley (-5 points)
and the Big House (+ 5 points) is about 10 points...10 points to our favor.
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