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Sporting News story hits the problem right on the nail

ArrowheadBlue

Heisman
May 29, 2001
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You could look at Michigan's loss in one of two ways.

Scenario 1: No. 6 Michigan lost three of their last four games after starting 9-0 and the Jim Harbaugh hype machine is just that: a social media hype train bound to go off the tracks at any time.


Scenario 2: Or you could say that the Wolverines (10-3) lost three games by five points — including Friday night’s 33-32 loss to No. 11 Florida State in the Capital One Orange Bowl — and are close to taking that next-level step under Harbaugh.

The second scenario is the right choice, once the Wolverines find that missing piece to become a true national championship contender. That missing piece couldn’t have been more obvious against the Seminoles (10-3). Michigan still can’t push around a big-time opponent when they need to in the running game. And that’s the biggest challenge under Harbaugh. Once the Wolverines can do that, they’ll be ready for the Big Ten championship, College Football Playoff and maybe more.

Michigan couldn’t run the ball against Florida State until it was too late. The Wolverines had seven carries for zero yards after the first quarter and 15 carries for 23 yards at halftime. At that point, the Seminoles had a 255-83 advantage in total yards and a 20-6 advantage on the scoreboard. By the time they found something with De’Veon Smith and Chris Evans — who had the go-ahead 30-yard touchdown run with 1:57 left — it was almost too late. The Wolverines finished with 36 carries for a season-low 89 yards (2.5 yards-per-carry average).

There’s the common thread in those three losses. Michigan had 114 rushing attempts for 278 yards in losses to Iowa, Ohio State and Florida State. That’s 2.4 yards per carry. Wilton Speight’s injury might have been a factor, but Michigan simply couldn’t run the ball when it had to in big-time games. Florida State, meanwhile, watched Dalvin Cook rush 20 times for 145 yards while looking like a first-round back the entire time.

That’s all Michigan needs. That’s what Harbaugh has wanted since Day 1. At his first Big Ten Media Day he was asked where he wanted that running game to be. “We want it to be dominant,” he replied.

It’s not dominant yet.

This is the school that produced 4,000-yard rushers at running back such as Mike Hart, Anthony Thomas, Jamie Morris and Tyrone Wheatley. Evans might be part of the answer next season, but that’s what makes Michigan’s pursuit of five-star running back Najee Harris, an Alabama verbal commit, that much more important over the next month. The Wolverines also have five offensive linemen verbally committed in the upcoming class. A road-grader running game is what has kept this team from moving to the next level. This loss proved Michigan wasn’t quite ready for the College Football Playoff yet, even if it’s close.

Everything else is in place. The defense — even without linebacker Jabrill Peppers — settled in after a bad start against Florida State, and will be able to fill around its defensive line and defensive coordinator Don Brown’s scheme. Speight will improve at quarterback under Harbaugh, and it’s clear this program is in a better place than when he first arrived. Michigan nearly beat Florida State without that dominant running game, and after a bad start.

Harbaugh isn’t hype either. Michigan is 20-6 the last two seasons. Only five Power 5 programs have better records since Harbaugh’s arrival, and three of those schools are in the College Football Playoff. That list includes Alabama (27-1), Clemson (26-2), Ohio State (23-2), Oklahoma (21-4) and Stanford (22-5). Harbaugh built a dominant rushing attack with the Cardinal, and it will get there with the Wolverines. There will be more pressure to deliver for Harbaugh in that third year, especially with the social media hype train he’s created. Those playoff teams aren’t going to wait, especially Ohio State.

The first two years have been a success, and Michigan will take the next step soon enough. They can be a true national championship contender under Harbaugh for sure.

You’ll know it’s happening when they push around a big-time opponent when they need to in the running game.
 
Well he should have had only two losses

He probably beats Clemson but we'll see how well they play. Definetely loses to bama this year anyway
 
I was going to post something to the effect of what is in bold below but this guy said it better than me.


It may be coachspeak cliché, but it's true: Florida State made more plays. The better team, at least tonight, won the game. Cook showed Michigan what they lack: an offensive playmaker that makes opponents sigh with relief every time the ball goes elsewhere. That, or an elite quarterback, can overcome a porous offensive line. The Wolverines had neither.
 
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And as great as Najee Harris may or may not be, he is not a speed back.

But yes...we need playmakers, home run hitters at RB and WR. Our QB is also not an elite athlete.

Hard to say how good Harbaugh has been, because a good team will expose our lack of athleticism.
 
And as great as Najee Harris may or may not be, he is not a speed back.

But yes...we need playmakers, home run hitters at RB and WR. Our QB is also not an elite athlete.

Hard to say how good Harbaugh has been, because a good team will expose our lack of athleticism.

And him getting 10 wins with the only athletes being peppers (and maybe Lewis/one other player) just answered that question and peppers was used wrong thanks to our oc
 
That is correct. Does UM need a better OL...absolutely. Absolutely. UM is a very good team. They have a lot going for them except they just don't have the Manningham, Edwards, Wheatley Sr., Biakabutuka, Boles, etc.

Let me put it to you this way...they don't have Wadley, Samuel, Cook or Barkley...and there you go.


RM
 
The OL is what made Speight uncomfortable in the first half, lots of missed throws thanks to that.

The OL could not convert a first and goal on the 2 to get back in the game.

BUT it was the D, again that could not convert the chance to win the game.
 
Thinking of the coulda shouldas of the game.

Early in the season, the D got caught out by being too aggressive and over running plays. This was one of those games that the resistance would have rewarded that aggression.

But still, we are a long way from a few years ago.
 
Perhaps Smith is the best RB. You have two strong coaches analyzing the RBs and I don't think Wheatley would miss someone after 13 games. I also think that was the main point -- UM needs a game breaker on offense.
 
This article is solid. UM had talent on defense but we were very average on offense. I don't think Speight is the QB you want if you're trying to win a championship but he'd look a lot better with a good OL, solid running game and play makers at the skill positions.
 
Peppers being misused is on Harbaugh. Deveon Smith getting half of the RB carries when he's our worst RB is on Harbaugh...

I think smith and Evans were good 50-50 I guess. Evans really never took over until the fsu game. That was a mistake there. Too many smith plays
 
This article is solid. UM had talent on defense but we were very average on offense. I don't think Speight is the QB you want if you're trying to win a championship but he'd look a lot better with a good OL, solid running game and play makers at the skill positions.
Well, OSU won a Natty w/ Craig Krenzel at QB so I think you're correct in your statements. Bama hasn't had any AA QB's lately though back in the day, Joe Willie, was as good as you get. LOL.

Defense wins Championships!!!! You have play-makers at RB and at Receiver helps with a average QB. Bama, OSU and LSU fit the mode, at USC, most likely the same w/ Lienart, Bush, White and the wideouts. SC has had some very good, physical defenses during their "runs".
 
Yeah, we gotta fix the OL..but we're also gonna need upgrades at RB, WR & QB. We can win with Speight if everything else is damn near perfect but I don't think it's realistic to expect that.
 
I think #2 is the better way to look at it - did our offense really look national-championship caliber the last month of the season? Harbaugh had us extremely close to a Big Ten title and playoff bid despite pretty average talent offensively, outside of TE. We did have a championship-level defense, but one side of the ball usually isn't enough.

The annoying thing is that it will be tough to take the next step in 2017 with all the graduation, but from 2018 onward I think we can be a very good team year-in and year-out.
 
Perhaps Smith is the best RB. You have two strong coaches analyzing the RBs and I don't think Wheatley would miss someone after 13 games. I also think that was the main point -- UM needs a game breaker on offense.

I think the issue was that Smith was better at pass-protection than the underclassmen, so he had to go out there for a lot of snaps or else we'd get very predictable (or Speight would get killed). We need Evans to hit the weights and become an all-around back next year.
 
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