Record (Nov. 1, 2021): 53-37-1
Record yesterday: 1-2, 1-0 (Dog of the Day)
Dog of the Day: 4-3
Yesterday, we went 1-2 in our main slate but our Dog of the Day cashed so it was an even day after all.
We needed something normal after three straight days of being winless or lossless, we experienced some balance on Wednesday.
Our Dog of the Day, UFC +104, beat Memphis by 10. The FOR/DUQ over smashed. Meanwhile, FLA -3 (NCAAB) and IND -1 (NBA) both stunk up the room with bad losses.
As for Thursday, we need to stay on the winning side to get this week back to net positive. The record is still above par, but I'm shooting for a heater here this weekend for NFL Playoffs. This will include some nifty new picks aside from a side or total. It's not my system to do the whole parlay bonanza everyone has come to love in the legal gambling era, however, I'm going to throw one in here this weekend. Oh, and props aren't profitable. The value stinks, too. At least in my experience. I'm sure some dudes rock at props. I am not that guy.
Anyway, it's Thursday, you know what that means.
NCAAB
Game: BUT @ GTWN, 7:00PM
Edges: BUT is a 1.5-point favorite on the road after opening as 2.5-point dogs (cough) ... no pun intended ... the money is out on BUT -1.5 at 99-percent with 71-percent of bets, too. Both teams are coming off back-to-back losses. GTWN is 1-5 ATS as a road underdog.
Pick: BUT -1.5
Game: OKST @ TTU, 7:00PM
Edges: The total has moved two points in favor of the over from 128.5 out to 130.5. This is due to a strong amount of sharp money coming in on the over. So much so that despite 32-percent of the bets on the over, the line made that move out 130.5. When you take a closer look, 96-percent of the money is on the over. That's a 64-percent difference and you don't see the differential that wide too often with line movement to go along with it. According to Covers, the over is 5-0 in TTU's last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight-up record. The same statistic applies to OKST. This is my favorite pick of the day in NCAAB.
Pick: o130.5
NBA
Game: GSW @ MIL, 7:30PM
Edges: This should be a fun one! At the time of writing, the line has moved from GSW -1 to a pick 'em. It opened at +2.5, so there's still been movement towards GSW as we near tip-off. The movement comes due to a strong amount of sharp signals on GSW along with 87-percent of the money and 42-percent of the bets. GSW is a favorite to win it all this season, but the Bucks are the defending champs. Draymond Green is out for GSW, while Jrue Holiday is out for MIL. I'll take Klay Thompson and Steph Curry getting in a rhythm here to go along with the signals.
Pick: GSW PK (up to -1.5)
Game: OKC @ BKN, 8:30PM
Edges: Kevin Durant is out. That says enough, right? The line moved from 10.5 down to 5.5 following the KD news, meaning one player is worth that monstrous amount. I absolutely agree in the case of KD and the signals do, too. A telling amount of sharp action came in on the OKC spread that forced the spread out. And I've had a ton of fun betting against BKN when it's missing one of its stars, like when we bet on POR earlier this week. Actually, BKN has only covered once in its last five, having been favored in each game and losing two of them outright. I will gladly take OKC, who has covered the spread in four of its last five games.
Pick: OKC +5.5
Record yesterday: 1-2, 1-0 (Dog of the Day)
Dog of the Day: 4-3
Yesterday, we went 1-2 in our main slate but our Dog of the Day cashed so it was an even day after all.
We needed something normal after three straight days of being winless or lossless, we experienced some balance on Wednesday.
Our Dog of the Day, UFC +104, beat Memphis by 10. The FOR/DUQ over smashed. Meanwhile, FLA -3 (NCAAB) and IND -1 (NBA) both stunk up the room with bad losses.
As for Thursday, we need to stay on the winning side to get this week back to net positive. The record is still above par, but I'm shooting for a heater here this weekend for NFL Playoffs. This will include some nifty new picks aside from a side or total. It's not my system to do the whole parlay bonanza everyone has come to love in the legal gambling era, however, I'm going to throw one in here this weekend. Oh, and props aren't profitable. The value stinks, too. At least in my experience. I'm sure some dudes rock at props. I am not that guy.
Anyway, it's Thursday, you know what that means.
NCAAB
Game: BUT @ GTWN, 7:00PM
Edges: BUT is a 1.5-point favorite on the road after opening as 2.5-point dogs (cough) ... no pun intended ... the money is out on BUT -1.5 at 99-percent with 71-percent of bets, too. Both teams are coming off back-to-back losses. GTWN is 1-5 ATS as a road underdog.
Pick: BUT -1.5
Game: OKST @ TTU, 7:00PM
Edges: The total has moved two points in favor of the over from 128.5 out to 130.5. This is due to a strong amount of sharp money coming in on the over. So much so that despite 32-percent of the bets on the over, the line made that move out 130.5. When you take a closer look, 96-percent of the money is on the over. That's a 64-percent difference and you don't see the differential that wide too often with line movement to go along with it. According to Covers, the over is 5-0 in TTU's last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight-up record. The same statistic applies to OKST. This is my favorite pick of the day in NCAAB.
Pick: o130.5
NBA
Game: GSW @ MIL, 7:30PM
Edges: This should be a fun one! At the time of writing, the line has moved from GSW -1 to a pick 'em. It opened at +2.5, so there's still been movement towards GSW as we near tip-off. The movement comes due to a strong amount of sharp signals on GSW along with 87-percent of the money and 42-percent of the bets. GSW is a favorite to win it all this season, but the Bucks are the defending champs. Draymond Green is out for GSW, while Jrue Holiday is out for MIL. I'll take Klay Thompson and Steph Curry getting in a rhythm here to go along with the signals.
Pick: GSW PK (up to -1.5)
Game: OKC @ BKN, 8:30PM
Edges: Kevin Durant is out. That says enough, right? The line moved from 10.5 down to 5.5 following the KD news, meaning one player is worth that monstrous amount. I absolutely agree in the case of KD and the signals do, too. A telling amount of sharp action came in on the OKC spread that forced the spread out. And I've had a ton of fun betting against BKN when it's missing one of its stars, like when we bet on POR earlier this week. Actually, BKN has only covered once in its last five, having been favored in each game and losing two of them outright. I will gladly take OKC, who has covered the spread in four of its last five games.
Pick: OKC +5.5
