Record (Nov. 1, 2021): 52-32-1
Record yesterday: 3-0
Dog of the Day: 3-2
How do you bounce back from an 0-4 Sunday? You go 3-0 on Monday!
Heckuva night for STE, sweeping our way through NCAAF and the NBA.
We were on the right side of the National Championship, taking UGA -3. I was all over UGA myself, but I do my best to bet with my opinions aside and the signals at the forefront. If my opinion agrees with the signals, then even better. We slammed UGA -3, and it paid off.
In the NBA, we had the over in DET/UTA, and that hit with ease. Then we took POR +8.5 against BKN, and the Blazers won outright.
The natty, despite the score, had us on the edge of our seats. Our NBA picks were far more easygoing on the nerves.
We're happy about 3-0, but we hate 3-4 in 48h. So, the journey to getting this week back to a positive record continues with our Tuesday night slate.
You've all read Tuesdays with Morie. Now, it's time for Tuesdays with Overs.
Let's ride.
NCAAB:
Game: USC @ STAN, 5:00PM
Edges: Following some strong sharp action, the line has swung out two points in USC's favor with 99-percent of the cash (63-percent of bets) on the 13-0 Trojans. With two strong signals and a line movement to go along with a 13-0 team against an 8-4 team, I'll take USC.
Pick: USC -6.5
Game: DEL @ DREX, 7:00PM
Edges: Similar to the USC side, sharps have made a move on this under and the cash has been driven up to 78-percent compared to just 33-percent of bets. All of this action has led Vegas to move this line down two points from 142 to 140. This two-point swing is telling. Drexel's last three games have gone under. With the signals on the under and the line being set at 140, lower than most of both teams' recent totals, I'll ride on the side of the pros.
Pick: u140
Game: OKST @ WVU, 9:00PM
Edges: WVU's last three games have gone over. The over is 21-6 in WVU's last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The over is 9-2 in OKST's last 11 road games and 8-2 when the Cowboys are a road dog. Additionally, the signals agree. The line has moved out a half-point towards the over with 82-percent of the cash on it compared to 33-percent of bets. Sharps have been on this one, and it may creep out some more before tip-off.
Pick: o134
NBA:
Game: DEN @ LAC, 10:30PM
Edges: Here's a funny one: the over is 5-1 in Denver's last six Tuesday night games and 4-1 following a LAC's win ATS, which it is coming off of one. That's not why we're here, though. The line has moved 3.5 points from 210 to 213.5. That is significant and it comes following sharp movement that's driven 83-percent of the money (53% of bets) on the over.
Pick: o213.5
DOG OF THE DAY!!
OKC (+210) @ WAS, 7:00PM
I want to preface this with ... if you're looking for a safer pick ... take the spread. But I'm sprinkling the ML here because it's gone from the 400's down to nearly under 200. It still has value worth taking, but it may be at the +190 mark or lower by tip-off. Listen to this: WAS is 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
WAS is 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing straight-up record. The spread is at 6.5, but I'm going to sprinkle the ML here.
Pick: OKC +210
Record yesterday: 3-0
Dog of the Day: 3-2
How do you bounce back from an 0-4 Sunday? You go 3-0 on Monday!
Heckuva night for STE, sweeping our way through NCAAF and the NBA.
We were on the right side of the National Championship, taking UGA -3. I was all over UGA myself, but I do my best to bet with my opinions aside and the signals at the forefront. If my opinion agrees with the signals, then even better. We slammed UGA -3, and it paid off.
In the NBA, we had the over in DET/UTA, and that hit with ease. Then we took POR +8.5 against BKN, and the Blazers won outright.
The natty, despite the score, had us on the edge of our seats. Our NBA picks were far more easygoing on the nerves.
We're happy about 3-0, but we hate 3-4 in 48h. So, the journey to getting this week back to a positive record continues with our Tuesday night slate.
You've all read Tuesdays with Morie. Now, it's time for Tuesdays with Overs.
Let's ride.
NCAAB:
Game: USC @ STAN, 5:00PM
Edges: Following some strong sharp action, the line has swung out two points in USC's favor with 99-percent of the cash (63-percent of bets) on the 13-0 Trojans. With two strong signals and a line movement to go along with a 13-0 team against an 8-4 team, I'll take USC.
Pick: USC -6.5
Game: DEL @ DREX, 7:00PM
Edges: Similar to the USC side, sharps have made a move on this under and the cash has been driven up to 78-percent compared to just 33-percent of bets. All of this action has led Vegas to move this line down two points from 142 to 140. This two-point swing is telling. Drexel's last three games have gone under. With the signals on the under and the line being set at 140, lower than most of both teams' recent totals, I'll ride on the side of the pros.
Pick: u140
Game: OKST @ WVU, 9:00PM
Edges: WVU's last three games have gone over. The over is 21-6 in WVU's last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The over is 9-2 in OKST's last 11 road games and 8-2 when the Cowboys are a road dog. Additionally, the signals agree. The line has moved out a half-point towards the over with 82-percent of the cash on it compared to 33-percent of bets. Sharps have been on this one, and it may creep out some more before tip-off.
Pick: o134
NBA:
Game: DEN @ LAC, 10:30PM
Edges: Here's a funny one: the over is 5-1 in Denver's last six Tuesday night games and 4-1 following a LAC's win ATS, which it is coming off of one. That's not why we're here, though. The line has moved 3.5 points from 210 to 213.5. That is significant and it comes following sharp movement that's driven 83-percent of the money (53% of bets) on the over.
Pick: o213.5
DOG OF THE DAY!!
OKC (+210) @ WAS, 7:00PM
I want to preface this with ... if you're looking for a safer pick ... take the spread. But I'm sprinkling the ML here because it's gone from the 400's down to nearly under 200. It still has value worth taking, but it may be at the +190 mark or lower by tip-off. Listen to this: WAS is 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
WAS is 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing straight-up record. The spread is at 6.5, but I'm going to sprinkle the ML here.
Pick: OKC +210
