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Betting Sharpening The Edge: CFB bets for Week 6

brandonjustice

Senior Editor
Staff
May 24, 2016
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Woodhaven, MI
if you missed the show, watch it below for my weekend slip, along with Dennis and Lucas.



The show continues to get better each week. Hope you guys tune in.

Here are my Week 6 picks:

Michigan/Indiana
I'm staying away from this game personally but it wouldn't be STE without action on the maize & blue.

Michigan should score as much as it wants against Indiana’s 118th overall Pass D. The Hoosiers will throw the ball maybe 100 times, which should result in points for both sides.
Pick: over 59

Ohio State/Michigan State
Again, because I have to. I feel good about this pick, but it’s not on my personal slip. I like Ohio State’s defense against Michigan State’s offense, which hasn’t showcased any sort of explosiveness similar to what they had last year. I think you’re getting a lot of points here, and maybe Ryan Day calms down after almost brawling with Greg Schiano a bit field last week.
Pick: under 65

Oklahoma/Texas
All in on Texas here. A line this big is typically drawing in Joe’s to take the points but Oklahoma has QB injuries while Texas is getting Quinn Ewers, who looked efficient as hell against Alabama. After TCU put a 50 burger on OU last week, it might happen again.
Pick: Texas -8 (-120) buying down from 8.5 because I want to be on the left side of that hook.

TCU/Kansas

TCU QB Max Duggan is efficient especially against the blitz. Kansas is the darling of the 2022 season so far, but I’m selling the Jayhawk stock this week. TCU is playing like one of the 10 best teams in the country with Duggan under center. I’m taking the 7.
Pick: TCU -7

Eastern Michigan/Western Michigan
80% of the money is on the under compared to 38% of the bets. That’s telling. The line moved down 2.5 points earlier this week, too. Sharp money is all over it as well, so this is a pure system pick.
Pick: under 55.5

Arkansas/Mississippi State
Arkansas is likely without KJ Jefferson, and their Pass D is a lick-your-chops spot for Mike Leach’s vertical attack. I’m all over this big favorite at home.
Pick: MSU up to -10

Washington/Arizona State
Washington is an over team while Arizona State unders are 4-1 this season. Despite the bees and money favoring the over, the line continues to decrease. I think 54.5 is the lowest I’ll go, though. I don’t ask questions when the line movement has these conditions.
Pick: under 56

Parlay:
Iowa ML
Maryland ML
Col St ML (cashed)
Replace ColSt with Tennessee ML
 
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