Reconciling Futures & Advanced Analytics

[Daddy Lemon]

On one hand, our odds to win the natty keep getting better. Now +500, second only to Georgia.

On the other hand, the advanced analytics are going the other way. FPI now has us 10th, notably a 3pt dog to PSU on a neutral field. TBD on SP+. Massey has us 7th and also a neutral dog to PSU.

Usually Vegas is pretty quantitative, and aligns with the advanced analytics.

What’s the disconnect?

 

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