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Now that the CFP poll is out, who are most likely to drop out?

detroit.dean

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Oct 22, 2010
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Most likely to drop out of the top 4 is LSU. The primary reason is they play Alabama next. Even if they pull that upset off they have tough games against Texas A&M and the SEC championship game. No #3 seed in the opening poll made it to the final 4, and that curse will continue.

Next most likely is ND. Their final 4 games are at NW followed by FSU, Syracuse and USC. NW will play them tough. Syracuse is now a ranked team who has scored on everyone they played and almost beat Clemson. FSU and USC are both a car cry from their stories teams of years past, yet both teams are full of athletes and highly rated recruits. They may be playing for pride at this point which might elevate their game somewhat in these last few weeks.

next is Clemson. They don't play tough teams but do have a rivalry game against South Carolina and have had a couple tough games early in the season.

no one will beat Alabama. The only hope opposing teams have is if Alabama beats themselves (turnovers) combined with injuries, fluke plays etc.

personally I think LSU and ND both lose a game opening the door for the B1G champion as the #3 seed and either Oklahoma or Wash St as the #4 seed. Assuming UM wins out and gets in under this scenario, we would play Clemson in the opening game. I like our chances in that one.
 
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