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Michigan's Odds to Beat MSU, via S&P+

Drew Hallett

Sophomore
Staff
Jul 29, 2018
203
929
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S&P+ gives Michigan a 71% chance to beat Michigan State and projects U-M to win by 10 points.

The following are Michigan's projected win probabilities for each remaining game:

at Michigan State: 71%
Penn State: 62%
at Rutgers: 98%
Indiana: 90%
at Ohio State: 45%

S&P+ gives Michigan an 11% chance to win out and a 58% chance to finish 10-2 or better.

Edit: as @mikev66 pointed out, it should be 17% chance to win out.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet...zo333PqSetw52kEGgbXKb6viGZSbYuJugvRR/pubhtml#
 
Last edited:
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