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Michigan Penn State by the numbers: The BIG Mistake the "experts" are making

BlueMonster

Heisman
Apr 2, 2002
19,940
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The BIG Mistake the "experts" are making
The "experts" are not looking at the Cade McNamara Team that took the field with 4 minute remaining in the 1st half versus Rutgers. The "experts" are looking at a 2-3 Joe Milton led Michigan team that got blown out by Wisconsin and Indiana. They are looking at the wrong Michigan team.



Below is a lot of data that means NOTHING
Vegas Odds: Pick em
Sagarin: Michigan -2.3 points
ESPN Power Index: PSU -2.5 points
Massey Ratings: Michigan -2.5 points
Strength of Schedule Rank: Michigan 15th, PSU 2nd: Advantage PSU
Common Opponent: Indiana: Advantage PSU
- PSU loses by 1 point
- Michigan loses by 17 points: 1
- 16 point advantage for PSU


The mistake the "experts" are making
All of these sources look at Michigan's season in its entirety

Rutgers Game:
26 minutes under Joe Milton:
Actual Score: Rutgers 17 - Michigan 0:
Extrapolated full game score: Rutgers 39 - Michigan 0 (Yuck)

34 minutes under Cade McNamara:
Actual Score: Rutgers: 18 - Michigan 35:
Extrapolated full game score: Rutgers: 32 Michigan 62 (wow!)

If CADE is the real deal (I think he is), he will have a good game versus PSU today.



Summary
Everyone is looking a Michigan and PSU and this feels like a pick em game between two dismal teams
If you watched the 34 minutes of Rutgers with Cade, this team looks like a top 15 team in the country
We will get some players back, revitalized OL, We will be lacking one RB (Zach?).


Prediction:
Michigan will outperform expectations today: Michigan 35 - Penn St - 24
 
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