If we look at UM recruiting classes by percentage of four and five star signees by head coach since the beginning of the Rivals rankings era...
Carr (2002-07): 56%
Rodriguez (2008-10): 50%
Hoke (2011-14): 50%
Harbaugh (2015-17): 56%
Observations
- Carr was just over 59% until his last full class in '07 (only 8 of 20, or 40%)
- The 2006 team (undefeated until OSU) was powered by upperclassmen from the 2002-04 classes which featured 38 of 60 four and five star recruits (63%)
- Harbaugh's 56% total includes the 2015 class that Hoke started (6 of 14, or 43%); if we only look at the 2016&17 classes which he recruited from beginning to end, Harbaugh is at 59% (35 of 59)
Thoughts
- I think this just proves what a lot of folks have held over the years: star rankings are meaningful in aggregate but not for any single player-to-player comparison
- Those 2010 (22%) and 2011 (30%) classes belong in the conversation - along with subpar coaching - when explaining the 2013 & 14 seasons
- If this is predictive of anything at all (and maybe it's not but I tend to think it is), it is another data point that indicates Jim Harbaugh will be very successful at UM
Questions? Comments? Obscene Remarks?
In case you're interested, the year by year numbers are in the spoiler below...
Carr (2002-07): 56%
Rodriguez (2008-10): 50%
Hoke (2011-14): 50%
Harbaugh (2015-17): 56%
Observations
- Carr was just over 59% until his last full class in '07 (only 8 of 20, or 40%)
- The 2006 team (undefeated until OSU) was powered by upperclassmen from the 2002-04 classes which featured 38 of 60 four and five star recruits (63%)
- Harbaugh's 56% total includes the 2015 class that Hoke started (6 of 14, or 43%); if we only look at the 2016&17 classes which he recruited from beginning to end, Harbaugh is at 59% (35 of 59)
Thoughts
- I think this just proves what a lot of folks have held over the years: star rankings are meaningful in aggregate but not for any single player-to-player comparison
- Those 2010 (22%) and 2011 (30%) classes belong in the conversation - along with subpar coaching - when explaining the 2013 & 14 seasons
- If this is predictive of anything at all (and maybe it's not but I tend to think it is), it is another data point that indicates Jim Harbaugh will be very successful at UM
Questions? Comments? Obscene Remarks?
In case you're interested, the year by year numbers are in the spoiler below...
2002: 12/21
2003: 13/17
2004: 13/22
2005: 11/23
2006: 11/19
2007: 8/20
(56%)
2008: 17/24
2009: 14/22
2010: 6/27
(50%)
2011: 6/20
2012: 12/25
2013: 17/27
2014: 9/16
(50%)
2015: 6/14
2016: 16/29
2017: 19/30
(56%)
2003: 13/17
2004: 13/22
2005: 11/23
2006: 11/19
2007: 8/20
(56%)
2008: 17/24
2009: 14/22
2010: 6/27
(50%)
2011: 6/20
2012: 12/25
2013: 17/27
2014: 9/16
(50%)
2015: 6/14
2016: 16/29
2017: 19/30
(56%)
