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Help me...What am I missing about the Nebraska at Northwestern game?

BlueMonster

Heisman
Apr 2, 2002
19,940
13,402
113
What am I missing?

Northwestern (2-3) playing AT HOME against winless Nebraska (0-5) is only 3 1/2 point favorite

Most of the ESPN Gameday Crew (including Bear) was predicting a Nebraska win outright.

Wait what??


I think this should be a 10-14 point win for Northwestern why am I wrong?

Comparable Games

Vs. Michigan
Northwestern lost to a Top-5 Michigan Team by 3 points after leading most of the game
Nebraska lost to Michigan by 46 points after trailing 20-0 in the first quarter

Vs. Purdue
Northwestern Beat Purdue by 4 points ON THE ROAD in West Lafayette
Nebraska LOST to Purdue by 14 points AT HOME in Lincoln Nebraska

Other Games
Northwestern beat a good but overrated MSU team by TEN...ON THE ROAD in Spartan Stadium
Nebraska lost by 5 to Troy AT HOME (I did not know what conference Troy is in, I had to look it up)
Nebraska 120th in the country in scoring defense (screen door vs elephant type stuff)

Computer ratings
According to multiple computer ratings this should be something like a 13 point game

I don't gamble on college football games but if I did I would drop a c-note on that line

What am I missing?
 
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