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A Statistical Paradox in Major League Baseball in 2020

BlueMonster

Heisman
Apr 2, 2002
19,940
13,402
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HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE

Surprising Conclusion:
The Home Field Advantage was LARGER in 2020 with NO FANS in the stands than it was in 2019 WITH FANS in the stands

For many years I have been curious about the impact of Home Field Advantage
In Major League Baseball the home field has one particular advantage: The Home Team bats last.
How would the absence of fans affect Home Field Advantage?
I simply tallied home wins and home losses from the Major League standings as of today
I don't think this is an aberration due to sample size. I think 898 games is enough to be statistically meaningful

2019 with fans in the stands
All Teams - Home Team: 1286 Wins - 1143 Losses = 52.9%
Teams Above .500 - Home Team: 751 wins 464 Losses = 61.8%

2020 with fans NO in the stands

All Teams - Home Team: 500 Wins - 398 Losses = 55.7%
Teams Above .500 - Home Team: 262 wins 154 Losses = 63.0%

To simply TIE the 2019 Win%, 2020 Home Teams would need to be 475-423, a 25 game swing.

HELP: If anyone has a theory on this I'm very open to it
 
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