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25 And Going The Wrong Way (Class Projection)

Highbury

All-American
Dec 21, 2021
6,887
9,203
113
*all rankings composite

QB

In: Jadyn Davis (4*)
Projected: none

RB

In: Jordan Marshall (4*), Micah Kaapana (3*)
Projected: none

FB

In: Zach Ludwig (3*)
Projected: none

OT

In: Andrew Sprague (4*), Ben Roebuck (3*)
Projected: none

IOL

In: Luke Hamilton (4*), Blake Frazier (4*), Jake Guarnera (3*)
Projected: None

TE

In: Brady Prieskorn (4*), Hogan Hansen (4*)
Projected: none

WR

In: I'marion Stewart (4*), Channing Goodwin (3*)
Projected: none

DL

In: Ted Hammond (4*), Owen Wafle (4*), Manuel Beigel (3*)
Projected: none

EDGE/SAM

In: Devon Baxter (4*), Dominic Nichols (3*), Cole Sullivan (3*),
Projected: none

LB

In: Mason Curtis (4*), Jeremiah Beasley (4*), Jaden Smith (3*)
Projected: none

CB

In: Jo'ziah Edmond (3*), Jeremiah Lowe (3*)
Projected: none

S

In: Jacob Oden (4*)
Projected: none

***

Notes

No uncommitted recruits left on the board.

We'll be on the lookout for late risers or late poaching opportunities. And the good news is late risers tend to have a high hit rate because the later in the cycle we get, the more information we have on a recruit. There's less projecting.

There are a handful of committed recruits we'll probably keep after - Shipp, Tuggle, Rudolph and Patterson, most notably. But that cuts both ways: Clemson and Wisconsin have not given up on Dominic Nichols, and FSU has entered the fray there, and hometown Washington has not given up on Hogan Hansen, who did not have Prieskorn in his class when he committed.

Based on current composite ratings, the star breakdown of the class:

5* - none
4* - (14)
3* - (11)

Star Average: 3.56
Top 25 Star Average: 3.56

The services, I believe, only use your top 25 recruits to rank classes.

NIL has caused a little pooling at the top among the true recruiting giants, so 3.6 is more solidly "pretty good but not great" than it was a few years ago. That would fall about 8th or 9th, nationally, on average going back to 2013. And it might be a bit lower now.

For 2023, we didn't land any Top 125 players. This year it's 3 (Marshall, Prieskorn, Davis.) We've upped our NIL to the point where we're in the game more than before, but we still do need the type of top recruit who will turn down "transactional" offers. The big fish that we've seen slip off the hook - Justin Scott, Darien Mayo, Aaron Chiles, the two Ohio corners, Michael Uini - apparently were not among them.

Especially disappointing is the EDGE class as it stands now, with a high-ceiling low 4* and a high-floor/limited ceiling high 3* in a class where we would have been happy to take 4 and should look as appealing as any school in the country to players at that position. Also defensive back, where it's only one low-4* at safety and two sleeper corners.

This is more or less what it is. It's looking like the #9-12 class - acceptable for Michigan, but only that. And after a thin 2023 class, we really needed to restore some balance of 4*/5* recruits on the roster going forward, and we're going to make much less headway on that than it appeared we would. Recruiting was in a dry spell, got very hot for a few months, then stalled out again. There's no sugar-coating this: the summer of 2023 was dreadful on the recruiting front. We lost ground - quite a bit of it, in fact - at a moment in time where we should have been the flavor of the month. Our summer of recruiting discontent continues apace.
 
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